Are streaks real? Does the hot hand really exit, or is it just our pattern recognition software run amuck? How has our thinking about the statistics behind lucky runs evolved over time? Those were...

[Our political leaders] appear to regard mass unemployment as an unfortunate but unavoidable symptom of the coronavirus. "It's nobody's fault, certainly not in this country," President Trump said Thursday. The federal government's primary...

    The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Ben Cohen on Streaks, is below. You can stream and download our full conversation, including the podcast extras, on Apple iTunes, Spotify, Overcast,...

Source: Index Fund Advisors       There was a fascinating study released last year about the nature of Alpha:  S&P Dow Jones Indices Fleeting Alpha: The Challenge of Consistent Outperformance by...

My shelter-in-place, back to work morning train reads: • “A plane from Shanghai arrived at JFK Airport in New York Sunday morning carrying an extraordinary load: 12 million gloves, 130,000 N95...

We can anticipate a federal bailout of pension funds and one-time aid to state and local governments, but bailouts won't repair the eroding foundations of tax revenues.
As we all know, the federal government can "print" money but state, county and...

Tonight: Mel Brooks double feature! Young Frankenstein & Blazing Saddles (so good!) pic.twitter.com/7QllqGG33y — Barry Ritholtz (@ritholtz) March 29, 2020     Of all the many things there are to...

At the center of it all are a small band of traders who for years had cashed in on what had always been a sure-fire bet: shorting gold in the futures market. Usually, they'd ride the trade out till the end of the contract when they'd have a...

My easy like Sunday morning policy reads: • Now Is the Time to Overreact: If the measures we’re taking to fight the coronavirus work, they’ll look excessive later on. But the alternative is worse....

There are only two ways to survive a decline in income and net worth: slash expenses or default on debt.
In post-World War II America, the cultural zeitgeist viewed frugality as a choice: permanent economic growth and federal anti-poverty programs...

This week, I sit down with Wall Street Journal’s NBA correspondent Ben Cohen. His new book is The Hot Hand: The Mystery and Science of Streaks was just released this month. In college, he was the...

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a mug of Organic Ft French Guatemalan Quetzaltenango coffee, grab a seat 6 feet from your neighbor, and get ready for our longer form weekend reads: • Spend...

Succinct Summations for the week ending March 27th, 2020 Positives: 1. We have a $2 trillion stimulus plan deal; markets rally; 2. Corporate profits rose 4.1% y/o/y, above previous measures. 3....

U.S. Can Get Bailouts Right This Time Terms in the financial crisis were too generous to most companies, but at least one rescue offers a promising template. Bloomberg, March 23, 2020     A little...

My end of week, mostly CoronaVirus-free, morning train reads: • The Good, The Bad, and the Ugly in the Two-Trillion-Dollar Stimulus (New Yorker) • Taleb: Corporate Socialism: The Government is...

Did I forget to mention it is Spring? March 19th the Winter ended, and in the midst of this “shelter-in-place” disruption, the change of seasons snuck by. But that’s no reason not to do what we...

Michael and Barry discuss the latest record-breaking unemployment numbers and why the market is rallying on this bad news? What is going on?   Why the Stock Market Rallies on Bad News  

The post

  1. COVID-19's Devastating Effects on Jobs and Businesses
  2. Nearly 3.3 Million People Lost Their Jobs In Just One Week Because of Coronavirus
  3. Are Markets Wise — or Probabilistic?
  4. 10 Thursday AM Reads
  5. Coronavirus Tracked: latest figures as the pandemic spreads
  6. The Pandemic Is Accelerating the Breakdown That Began a Decade Ago
  7. Lawmakers and White House agree to $2 trillion coronavirus stimulus bill after marathon negotiations
  8. MiB: David Dunning on Unknown Unknowns
  9. US Commercial Mortgage Market On The Brink Of Collapse
  10. Where Have You Gone, Warren Buffett?
  11. 10 Wednesday AM Reads
  12. Behavioral Grooves: Keeping Perspective in a Crisis
  13. Coronavirus Could Decimate Mortgage Servicing Industry
  14. Whatever It Takes: How the Fed Aims to Rescue the Economy
  15. What Should the Bailouts Accomplish?
  16. 10 Tuesday AM Reads
  17. Expected U.S. Macroeconomic Performance during the Pandemic Adjustment Period
  18. Helicopter Money: Short-Term Relief Won't Cure our Financial Disease
  19. Transcript: David Dunning
  20. New York State Orders Mortgage Servicers To Offer COVID-19 Relief

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